About this interactive
What you are doing: predicting who an attacker will hit, or what it will do next, from what the defenders know about it.
The lesson's apple tree: most attackers reach for the low-hanging fruit, whatever is easiest to grab, and skip the apple at the top that takes time and risk. That attacker tries one trick on many victims and moves on when a target is protected, so enough security not to be the easy one turns it away. But an attacker after a big payoff, such as a government's secrets or a bank's money, picks one target and keeps climbing, and a strong defense only raises its cost. A grudge works the same way: a vindictive former employee goes after the company that wronged him.
How to use it: first ask whether the attacker cares who the victim is. If it does not, pick the easiest target or the move to an easier one. If it has chosen, pick the target it chose or the move that keeps it coming. Each answer shows why.
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